Binay, Poe tied in new SWS presidential survey

Metro Manila (CNN Philippines) – Sen. Grace Poe and Vice President Jejomar Binay of the United Nationalist Alliance (UNA) are tied in the latest pre-election survey for 2016 presidential aspirants, the Social Weather Stations (SWS) announced on Wednesday (December 23).

In the nationwide survey held from December 12 to 14, 26 percent of the respondents voted for Poe and another 26 percent voted for Binay.

Liberal Party standard bearer Manuel “Mar” Roxas II placed second with 22 percent of votes, followed by Davao City Mayor Rodrigo “Rody” Duterte with 20 percent.


But since the survey claims a margin of error of ±3 points, Poe, Binay, Roxas and Duterte are all statistically tied.

SWS interviewed 1,200 respondents nationwide for the survey.

They were asked the question: "Sa mga sumusunod na pangalan sa listahang ito, sino po ang malamang ninyong iboboto bilang PRESIDENTE ng Pilipinas, kung ang eleksyon ay gaganapin ngayon?"

[Translation: Among the names found in this list, who will you probably vote for as PRESIDENT of the Philippines, if elections were held today?]

SWS furnished the respondents with a list of 10 names to choose from, alphabetically arranged and excluding 121 others who filed their certificates on candidacy (COC). This list was also approved by Business World (BW), official media partner of SWS in polling.

Poe and Binay also statistically tied in the BW-SWS pre-election surfvey fielded from September 2 to 5.

Meanwhile, Binay also led another survey held from December 4 to 11 by the Pulse Asia Research Inc. after three in 10 (33 percent) of the 1,800 survey respondents voted for him, if elections were held during the survey period.

Related: Binay regains lead in Pulse Asia survey; Poe, Duterte statistically tied in second place

Binay’s surge in polls came despite a dramatic decline in his net satisfaction rating – from +74 in March 2014 to +24 in December 2015, or from “excellent” to “moderate.” This survey was conducted also by SWS from December 5 to 8.

Related: Analysts: VP Binay surge in polls ‘expected’

Poe, Binay grateful

Poe said she accepted the SWS survey results with "gratitude and humility."

“I will continue to make the rounds all over the country, reach out to the people on the ground, and make known how the leadership we are offering would make the government genuinely work for them,” Poe said in a statement.

On the other hand, Binay’s camp noted the increase in Binay’s SWS rankings, from 24 percent in September to 26 percent in December.

“The vice president has exemplified that hard work and firm commitment to fight poverty will resonate well with the people. He sincerely thanks our people for continuing to support and pray for him,” Binay’s spokesman, Rico Quicho, said.

Escudero consistent VP bet

In the vice-presidential race, Poe’s running mate, Sen. Francis “Chiz” Escudero also led both the SWS and Pulse Asia surveys.

Three in 10 respondents want Escudero for vice president in the two surveys, 30 percent voted for him in the SWS survey, 29 percent in the Pulse Asia survey.

Camarines Sur Rep. Leni Robredo and Sen. Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. tied for second place in the SWS survey with 19 percent of votes, closely followed by Sen. Alan Peter Cayetano with 17 percent.

Sen. Gringo Honasan was a far third with 8 percent of votes, followed by Sen. Antonio “Sonny” Trillanes IV with 5 percent.

All 19 names of those who filed their COCs were included in the list of candidates handed to the respondents for them to choose from. 

Sotto leads senatorial survey

Meanwhile, in the senatorial race, re-electionist Sen. Vicente “Tito” Sotto III of the Nationalist People’s Coalition (NPC) led the survey rankings with 59 percent of votes.

Liberal Party bets secured five out of the 12 spots in the senatorial survey. Here is the complete list:

  • Sotto, Vicente III "Tito" (NPC) 59%
  • Recto, Ralph (LP) 56%
  • Pangilinan, Francis "Kiko" (LP) 56%
  • Lacson, Panfilo "Ping" (Ind.) 46%
  • Zubiri, Miguel "Migz" (Ind.) 40%
  • Drilon, Franklin "Frank" (LP) 39%
  • Osmeña, Sergio III "Serge" (Ind.) 38%
  • Pacquiao, Emmanuel "Manny" (UNA) 37%
  • De Lima, Leila Norma Eulalia Josefa (LP) 35%
  • Gordon, Richard "Dick" (Bagumbayan-VNP) 32%
  • Moreno, Isko (Pwersa ng Masang Pilipino) 30%
  • Guingona, Teofisto III "TG" (LP) 28%

Respondents chose from the BW-SWS list of 82 senatorial candidates, excluding 90 others who initially filed their COCs.

CNN Correspondents David Santos and Joyce Ilas contributed to this report.