OCTA: COVID -19 reproduction rate in NCR rises to 1.17

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Metro Manila (CNN Philippines, January 12) — The OCTA Research Team said the reproduction rate of the COVID-19 virus in the National Capital rose to 1.17 as of January 10

The report released on Wednesday added the rate went past 1 on January 6.

"The last time the reproduction number was above 1 was on December 21 when it was at 1.02, said the report.

The reproduction rate refers to the average number of people that can be infected by a person in a susceptible population.

Numbers remained low throughout the holiday season as most testing centers were closed, however in December, OCTA warned against complacency.

"With testing centers resuming normal operations at the start of 2021, the number of new cases has now increased to more than 400, as shown in the chart below. There is a clear upward trend now," said the report.

According to OCTA, for the past week Quezon City still has the most number of cases each day in NCR at 76. This is followed by Manila (46), Pasig (29), Paranaque (25) and Marikina (25).

OCTA said that should the upward trend continue, local governments "will need to implement measures to reverse this direction before the pandemic gets out of hand."

On Monday, OCTA Research said the country is expected to experience an increase in COVID-19 cases this week due to the holidays.

OCTA Research fellow Fr. Nicanor Austriaco said their recent virus projections do not yet include the New Year and Feast of the Black Nazarene celebrations.

To date, the Department of Health said there are 491,258 COVID-19 cases in the country.

READ: OCTA: Impact of holiday surge in COVID-19 cases seen this week