OCTA flags 580% spike in Occidental Mindoro town’s COVID-19 cases

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Metro Manila (CNN Philippines, October 25) — OCTA Research group on Monday flagged the COVID-19 situation in Lubang, a small municipality in Occidental Mindoro, after the area logged a sharp increase in cases over the past week.

In its monitoring report, OCTA said the town of roughly 20,000 people recorded around 34 new cases daily from Oct. 18 to 24 — a 580% rise from the previous week's average.

The independent reasearch group also said the area’s reproduction number, or the number of people infected by a single case, has spiked to 3.61.

Citing criteria under the U.S. nonprofit Covid Act Now’s model, OCTA said Lubang is considered at critical risk for COVID-19.

Its update on areas outside Metro Manila also listed Dumaguete as a critical risk area, with a reproductive number of 1.36, as well as a high healthcare utilization rate and ICU bed occupancy at 87% and 89%, respectively.

Meanwhile, even as the situation in Zamboanga City has improved, it still reported the highest number of cases outside the national capital region, OCTA said.

It noted the city had a daily average of 180 new infections in the last seven days.

“Other high risk areas that are already on a downtrend include Bacolod, Tagum, Santiago and Bayombong,” the group said.

OCTA clarified the risk levels described in its report are not reflective of the government's alert levels and are based on an area’s COVID-19 average daily attack rate, reproduction number, healthcare utilization rate and testing positivity rate.