DOH: No evidence yet to call rise in NCR cases a 'surge'

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Metro Manila (CNN Philippines, July 28) — The Department of Health says there is not enough evidence to call the recent rise of cases in the National Capital Region a surge.

“Batay po sa aming mga tala hanggang kahapon, hindi talaga siya matatawag na surge sa ngayon," said Dr. Manuel Mapue II, head of the Department of Health's Regional Epidemiology Surveillance Unit in NCR, at the Laging Handa briefing on Wednesday.

[Translation: Based on the latest tally as of yesterday, it really cannot be called a surge for now.]

However, Mapue said cases are beginning to rise in Las Piñas, Makati, Pasay and San Juan.

"Binabase po natin ang ating tala sa average daily attack rate o ADAR...At karamihan po ng LGUs nagsisimula na rin tumaas. Although hindi pa po stable ang pagtaas, may araw na konti lang ang nadadagdag sa kaso nila, and may araw na nabibigla ‘yung pagdami ng kaso," he said,

[Translation: We base our tally on the average daily attack rate or ADAR...And most of the cases in LGUs are rising. Although the rise is still not stable, there are days when there are a few cases and there are days when there is a sudden increase.]

On Tuesday, the OCTA Research group said NCR is currently experiencing a surge with the reproduction rate at 1.33 and an average of 1,000 cases recorded per day. 

The group is pushing for the national government to implement a hard lockdown in Metro Manila before coronavirus cases spike further.

It said the strategy should be to "go early, go hard."

Mapue said expanding curfew hours could help bring down the number of cases, but added it was more important to strictly implement quarantine protocols.

When asked what conditions would make a situation a surge, Mapue said, "’Pag nakita na ‘yung...steady na siya at laging mataas ‘yung kaso."

[Translation: When we see that the rise is steady and consistently high.]