OCTA: 40,000 COVID-19 cases 'definitely possible' in next few days

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Metro Manila (CNN Philippines, January 14) — The OCTA Research group said it is "definitely possible" that the country's daily COVID-19 cases could reach 40,000 within the next few days.

This projection comes after the Department of Health reported another record-high 37,207 new infections on Friday.

"37,207 new cases today, within error of our blind projected range (35 to 37). This is obviously another new high in cases, and 40k is definitely possible within the next few days," OCTA Research fellow Guido David tweeted.

In an interview with CNN Philippines, he made the same projection "if the plateauing in the NCR [National Capital Region] or the peak may be slightly delayed."

In another tweet, David said NCR, Baguio City, Naga City, Angeles City, Santiago, Dagupan, and Lucena are currently at critical risk.

But he noted a decline is possible by next week in Metro Manila and in parts of Calabarzon where the surge started early, while the number of cases in other provinces may still go up until the end of January, then start to decline sometime in February.

Acting presidential spokesperson Karlo Nograles earlier announced that Metro Manila the epicenter of the local coronavirus outbreak will remain under Alert Level 3 until Jan. 31.